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U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Stenn Technologies, a financial technology loan company, has collapsed and most of its employees will lose their jobs. In early December, HSBC Holdings pushed the troubled trade finance company into bankruptcy.

Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market, is stepping down. According to a statement issued on Thursday, Michelle Neal, head of the new york Fed's market group and a member of its executive committee, will leave the bank in March 2025 to become a senior manager in the private sector. In the meantime, Neil has been transferred as a consultant to help promote a smooth transition. Anna Nordstrom, head of domestic and international marketing functions of the market group, will be the interim head of the market group until a successor is appointed. The new york Federal Reserve will start looking for a new head of the market group in the next few weeks.Canada is considering imposing export taxes on uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying imposing export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer, if Donald Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first.Bitcoin fell below $100,000/piece, down 1.15% in the day.

Brazilian President Lula is in good condition after undergoing surgery again. The medical team of Brazilian President Lula said on the 12th that Lula was in good condition and "very stable" after undergoing intracranial vascular surgery on the same day, and he is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. Roberto ahmed khalil, a member of the President's medical team, said at the press conference: "The operation was very successful, which is a supplement to the surgery on the 10th." He said that Lula is awake and has eaten, and his condition is very stable. He is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. (Xinhua News Agency)Market News: If Trump increases import duties on Canada, Canada will consider imposing export duties on uranium and oil.The Israeli army said that it "seriously damaged" the Syrian air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of its surface-to-air missiles. The Israel Defense Forces issued a statement on the 12th that it had "seriously damaged" the Syrian air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of the identified surface-to-air missiles. The statement said that in recent weeks, the Israel Defense Forces have been conducting a comprehensive assessment of the situation in Syria. The Israeli Air Force has formulated a "comprehensive strike plan" aimed at destroying Syria's powerful military capabilities in the face of escalating regional tensions. In the past few days, hundreds of Israeli air force fighters and other aircraft launched coordinated strikes, which dealt a major blow to Syria's "most strategic weapon system."